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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 236 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Atlanta. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to acquire a lot of money from this week and that I can’t wait to chase these big prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will try to receive my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $30k prize, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the very first thing I did when salaries were released. I put both of these fighters in my money lineup and I started building out there. I anticipate this to be among the best fights ever and that I think we get ~200 total DK points from this struggle, plus the guaranteed win. I am okay with taking the reduction when I can guarantee myself over 100 issues together with the pile, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this struggle and if we could lock up 3 other wins we ought to win the vast majority of our money games. As I always say, we don’t need 6 wins for money games so there is really no need to pursue it. Only lock in a safe lineup that you believe will score more than 400 total points and you ought to acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP play of this week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week since he’s the definition of bust or boom. He either loses or scores over 100 DK points. That is what we want in GPPs. This is not a confident pick in him winning it is just a shot at his ceiling that is what we search for in the big GPPs where we are attempting to win the top $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his wins and he has just seen the 3rd around once in his profession. This is a good fight to target on both sides, but I am taking Krylov to get the win and I will have a fantastic amount of vulnerability to him this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I needed to put Poirier here. I love his floor and I believe he is a live underdog. But IF he wins, he will 100% end up on the 1st place lineup in his $7.1k price-tag. He is likely to score over 100 DK points if he is able to get a success here and that’s what we’re chasing in GPPs. Even if you think Max will dominate Poirier I think you should possess at least 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, and this is an all-in struggle for me. Every lineup I build will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on out there. Load up on this fight and be sure to find some Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was tough to select a fade of the week this week because I believe that you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a favorite though and I think that the favored with one of the lower ceilings is Salmon. I am picking him to win but he will not be heading for any takedowns and when he doesn’t get a finish that he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price . I need at least 10x (86-points) when I am rostering someone and I don’t see him unless he gets a knockout. Taha is tough so that I really don’t observe the knockout happening. I think Salmon does make a unanimous decision win here but it probably scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the big $30k. That’s why he’s my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 66-41 for +220.23un (+$22,023) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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